Bitcoin price prediction: Is BTC on its way to $140K as volatility vanishes?

Bitcoin price prediction: Is BTC on its way to $140K?

Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $107,000 almost immediately after dropping to an intraday low of $105,157.40, with Bitcoin price prediction showing that a run to $140,000 may be underway.

Recent price action and on-chain data suggest a significant shift in both investor behavior and market dynamics, with July emerging as a potentially decisive month for the world’s leading cryptocurrency.

Institutions are back and buying big

Notably, the breakout above $107,000 is widely seen as a product of aggressive accumulation by institutional investors, many of whom are following treasury strategies akin to those employed by MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor.

As the US dollar continues to weaken, dropping over 10% in 2025 alone, Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge against devaluation has grown considerably, especially among large capital allocators.

Matrixport’s latest research underscores this shift, pointing to Bitcoin’s reduced correlation with traditional assets and a sharp drop in volatility, factors that enhance its profile in institutional risk models.

The influx of institutional capital has already caused a noticeable spike in Bitcoin trading volume, which rose by nearly 23% in the past 24 hours to $26.8 billion, signaling broader confidence in the asset’s long-term trajectory.

Bitcoin volatility has dropped as investor confidence grows

Bitcoin’s historic volatility has long been a concern for institutional investors, but new data from Matrixport indicates a structural decline in price swings, which now supports its growing use as a portfolio diversifier.

This trend reflects a broader maturation of the crypto market, where improved liquidity, regulatory clarity, and risk management tools have contributed to greater investor stability and reduced speculative behavior.

As a result, institutional entities are more comfortable allocating capital to BTC, not just as a growth asset, but increasingly as a strategic component of diversified investment portfolios.

This sentiment is echoed by analysts and veteran traders, who note that Bitcoin is behaving more like a traditional asset, gaining resilience and investor trust even amid global macroeconomic uncertainty.

Companies are riding the BTC wave

Beyond investment funds and banks, companies are also starting to report meaningful revenues from Bitcoin-related operations, a sign of deepening integration across the financial and corporate spectrum.

Japanese firm Metaplanet reported Bitcoin-related revenues of approximately $7.6 million for Q2, marking a 42.4% month-on-month increase and signaling rapid expansion in crypto-facing business models.

Such developments highlight that institutional adoption is no longer theoretical. It is showing up in corporate earnings and strategic planning, further reinforcing Bitcoin’s position as a serious financial asset.

This trend is likely to inspire more corporations to follow suit, especially as global regulatory environments stabilize and digital assets become more accepted within traditional business ecosystems.

Bitcoin price prediction: $140K emerges as a critical price target

While BTC has rallied significantly in recent months, on-chain data reveals that long-term holders (LTHs) have not yet seen profits comparable to those earned during the 2024 cycle peaks.

According to a recent research by CryptoQuant, realized profits for these holders currently hover around 220%, well below the 300% to 350% margins seen in March and December last year.

To reach those prior profit benchmarks, Bitcoin would need to climb to approximately $140,000, a level now considered by many as a psychological and technical market magnet.

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio — used to assess average holder profitability — indicates that Bitcoin must gain roughly 30% from current levels for long-term holders to match earlier bull market performance.

This profit gap could drive sustained buying pressure, especially if short-term consolidation gives way to a breakout backed by institutional inflows and bullish momentum.

In addition, technical analysts such as Rekt Capital suggest the market may be on the verge of breaking out of a multi-week downtrend that began in mid-May.

With a majority of Bitcoin (BTC) holders sitting on unrealized profits totaling $2.5 trillion, market sentiment remains optimistic, but cautious profit-taking among long-term holders continues to create resistance.

Nonetheless, the structural indicators, from rising trading volumes and falling volatility to increasing institutional exposure, all suggest a bullish Bitcoin price prediction with Bitcoin’s bull cycle still very much intact.

The next few weeks could prove pivotal, especially if July follows historical patterns of strong returns and traders begin pricing in the $140,000 target as a realistic outcome rather than a speculative dream.